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The Real Secret About Why Corporate Mergers Fail

Listen on: iTunes | Google Podcasts | Online Corporate acquisitions often fail for one simple reason: the buyer pays too much. An old Wall Street adage comes to mind: Price is what you pay, value is what you get. It all starts with a control premium. When we purchase shares of a stock, we pay a price that is within […]

Beats & Misses, Seen & Unseen

Wall Street glorifies companies that beat quarterly estimates by arguing that the long term comprises a lot of short terms. But beating earnings estimates for a few consecutive quarters doesn’t necessarily lead to long-term greatness. It assumes that significant changes to the business are visible in the reported numbers. This is likely what General Electric executives […]

Welch vs Bezos

A lot of times I won’t have an insight into a business because I don’t understand it or because it’s too complex. General Electric is a great example. As a value investor I should be all over this iconic stock, which is making a generational low. Not at all. I have looked at GE at least […]

Jeremy Siegel is brilliant, uplifting and just plain wrong!

S&P 500 earnings topped out at about $84 a share in June 2007, while corporate profit margins were 44% above their average since 1980.  At the time, these numbers were inflated by global bubbles in real-estate, commodities, liquidity, and growth expectations–a lot of global bubbles.    Since 2007, most of the bubbles deflated, stocks plunged, […]

Audio Interview with Chuck Jaffe at MarketWatch

I had a fun radio/podcast interview today with Chuck Jaffe at MarketWatch (here is a link, my portion of the interview starts on the 10:40 mark), we “played” hold it or fold it with some of the stocks we own: American Express, eBAY, Nokia; stocks I would NOT want to own: GE, Goldman Sachs, Bank […]

Good Company vs. Good Stock

This is an excerpt from a comment I read on Daily Speculation. It is such a common misperception that I had to write a response: “Great stocks [Google, Apple] are to be owned. Companies who dominate their space are to be kept and allowed to grow. Those who have built fantastic franchise names should be […]

Abbott or GE – who is smarter?

I am not a buyer of Abbott Labs(ABT) at this price, as the margin of safety has been depleted by the latest stock appreciation.  But I like its latest transaction with General Electric (NYSE GE). Abbott proved to be a shrewd buyer and seller.  It played Johnson & Johnson (JNJ), Guidant (GDT) and Boston Scientific (BSX) masterfully […]