IMS Health is being stolen
It was announced Thursday that IMS Health
was to be stolen from its shareholders for $4 billion or about $22 share; a private equity firm will buy them out. IMS Health should have free cash flows this year over $340 million (the actual number should be higher than $400 million, but is benefited by a $60 million onetime tax benefit).
So this company, which has virtually no competition, has barriers to entry impossible for a new entrant to overcome, and a cash printing machine will be sold for about 12 times free cash flows. Over the past year we’ve seen much lower quality companies being sold for much higher valuations than this. Most recently, Burlington Northern Santa Fe, which has a significant competitive advantage but has far inferior return on capital and free cash flow generation than IMS, is to be purchased by Mr. Buffett for about 20 times earnings and 30 or more times free cash flows. IMS Health’s management and board have a history of making dumb capital allocation decisions, but this one may go down in history as their dumbest.
We own these shares and will probably hold on to them in the hope that shareholders will refuse this offer.
P.S. Here is a PDF of my recommended book list for 2009.
I am the CEO at Investment Management Associates, which is anything but your average investment firm. (Seriously, take a look.)
I wrote two books on investing, which were published by John Wiley & Sons and have been translated into eight languages. (Even in Polish!)
In a brief moment of senility, Forbes magazine called me “the new Benjamin Graham.” (They must have been impressed by the eloquence of the Polish translation.)
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