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Is American Express (and financial stocks) still cheap?

Financial stocks had a huge run up from their bottom. Many have doubled and tripled, but are they still cheap? It’s almost impossible to value big financial institutions like Citigroup (C), Bank of America (BAC), or Goldman Sachs (GS) — they’re a lot like hot dogs — you don’t really know what’s inside of them; [...]

September 5, 2009 | Posted in Stock Analysis! | Read More »

Video Interview with Yahoo TechTicker

I did three 5 minute segment interviews on Yahoo TechTicker with Aaron Task and Henry Blodget.  Here are links to the videos: Only Time Can Cure What Ails Us: Stocks Slump on Bailout, Stimulus News Range-Bound at Best: The Long View on Stocks Isn’t Much Better, Says Vitaliy Katsenelson Active Value Investing: The Bull Case for [...]

February 14, 2009 | Posted in 5 Minutes of Fame,5 Minutes of Fame!,Stock Analysis! | Read More »

Quoted in Barron’s on AmEx

I was quoted in this week’s Barron’s on AmEx (AXP): “This company can weather a huge hurricane and come out fine,” says Vitaliy Katsenelson, head of research at Investment Management Associates in Denver. “American Express is one the simplest financial companies to analyze. It’s much more transparent than Citigroup or JPMorgan or Goldman Sachs. He argues [...]

November 16, 2008 | Posted in 5 Minutes of Fame,Stock Analysis | Read More »

AmEx as a Bank Holding Company

AmEx becoming a bank holding company (BHC) is not just net positive for the company it is simply positive. When a highly leveraged investment bank like Goldman Sachs turns into a BHC, its future profitability suffers as its leverage drops to commensurate level of the bank. Lower leverage leads to lower profitability.  AmEx on another [...]

November 12, 2008 | Posted in Stock Analysis | Read More »

The Wall Street Transcript Interview Excerpts

I was interviewed by The Wall Street Transcript, here are some excerpts from the interview: Investing vs. speculating Let’s talk about financial stocks for a second, because I’m sure they are on investors’ minds right now. You want to be an investor rather than a speculator; at least I am talking about investing. If you [...]

October 5, 2008 | Posted in 5 Minutes of Fame,China | Read More »

American Express Analysis

Here is a link (opens PDF) to a 9 page analysis I did of American Express (AXP).  Warning: it is a bit dry.  I was going to present American Express at Value Investing Congress in Pasadena, but the stock ran up and exhausted a good portion of margin of safety.   Amex is one of [...]

May 30, 2008 | Posted in Stock Analysis | Read More »

Recently Commented

  • John Sheldrick: Glad you liked our Sydney Opera House and it was designed by a Dane – A Genius. As to the...
  • John Sheldrick: So, it’s now just over 2 years later on from when you first wrote this Article and Stocks have...
  • badgerman66: Excellent article. Very thought provoking. One key point is that PE ratios can’t be used in a...
  • vitaliyk: Very good point. But even if this happens margins dropping from 15% to 10% for instance will drive earnings...
  • vitaliyk: unlikely