Wall Street glorifies companies that beat quarterly estimates by arguing that the long term comprises a lot of short terms. But beating earnings estimates for a few consecutive quarters doesn’t necessarily lead to long-term greatness. It assumes that significant changes to the business are visible in the reported numbers. This is likely what General Electric executives […]
December 2018 Our firm bought Apple shares for clients’ portfolios in 2013, and we are used to being a contrarian voice when it comes to the stock (read here and here) — we loved it when it was hated. Now we are contrarian again — this time going against the company’s faithful. Here are key […]
I’ve written more articles about Apple than any other company we’ve ever owned. If I were to lie on Dr. Freud’s couch, then you’d find there were two Vitaliys writing these articles. First, there was Vitaliy the contrarian. Despite Apple’s ginormous size and the several dozen Wall Street analysts following the company, I felt it […]
The iPhone X is likely to be a phenomenal success for Apple. But its success will not be driven by anything new that the new phone packs inside. Instead, its success will be based on the phone’s screen size. Essentially, iPhone X provides the same screen real-estate as an iPhone Plus, but with the sleeker […]
I wrote more articles about Apple than almost any other company over the last five years. For a long time it was one of the most hated stocks on Wall Street, and when we bought it for the first time in 2013, an outraged client wrote me an email calling our purchase “irresponsible” – which motivated me to write […]
It is hard to find a bigger Apple stock cheerleader than me. I’ve been writing Apple stock love poems for years. For a long time, it was easy to love the shares because they were unloved by others and it was cheap. Until recently, when Apple stock was still trading in the low $100s and at single-digit multiples, […]
Great Stock = Great Company + Great Valuation (Apple vs Coke) Valuation – margin of safety (discount to fair value) – solves a lot of global problems. Let’s take Apple as an example. Today Apple is mostly an iPhone company: two-thirds of its profits come from that product. In 2014 it sold 169 million […]
I was on Bloomberg Radio with Cory Johnson and Carol Massar, discussing my latest article on Apple’s electric car and its consequences.
Writing is a very weird experience for me. Sometimes it feels almost like an act of divine intervention. Not because of the divinity of it, but because of the intervention part.
Writing is a very weird experience for me. Sometimes it feels almost like an act of divine intervention. Not because of the divinity of it, but because of the intervention part. It’s almost as if I were a vessel for a guy (at least I hope it’s a guy) inside my head trying to communicate with my readers.