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The Process

What The F… Should I Do Now? – Part 1

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“What the f… do I do now?” This was the actual subject line of an e-mail I received that really summed up most of the correspondence I got in response to an article I published last summer. To be fair, I painted a fairly negative macro picture of the world, throwing around a lot of fancy words, like “fragile” and “constrained system.”

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The True Value of Macro Forecasting for Value Investors

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While in Omaha for the Berkshire Hathaway annual meeting a couple of weeks ago, I participated in an investment panel hosted by a local chapter of the Young Presidents’ Organization. I had the privilege of sharing the stage with such industry giants as Tom Russo, a partner of Gardner Russo & Gardner (famous for knowing…

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Warren Buffett, Coca-Cola and the Not-So-American Dream

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Next Thursday, for the seventh time, I am going to Omaha, Nebraska, for the Berkshire Hathaway annual meeting. But this is the first time that I find myself respecting Mr. Buffett a little bit less than the year before. One of Berkshire Hathaway’s largest and oldest stock holdings, Coca-Cola Co., held a proxy vote yesterday,…

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Practitioners, Prognosticators and Portfolio Pain

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“Asphyxiation is a condition in which the body doesn’t receive enough oxygen.” That’s how I started my last column, in which I explained how the recent U.S. equity market highs have been creating “altitude sickness,” or value asphyxiation, for investors. If you look down from 30,000 feet, the market is trading at a significant premium…

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Germany, Europe and Mother Russia – Excerpts from VALUEx Vail

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Mother Russia

I always look forward to Hendrik Leber’s presentations. Hendrik runs a value investment fund named Acatis Investment out of Frankfurt, but he invests globally. In preparation for the conference, I asked him if he could talk about investing from a European perspective, so he did. Hendrik believes that there is no immediate danger of Europe’s monetary…

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The Process – from VALUEx Vail

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Investing is a peculiar industry because randomness is so deeply embedded in everything we do. I am always fascinated by the investment processes of other successful firms. The outcome of every decision we make results from two inputs: our skill and our luck (randomness, whether good or bad). When you analyze anyone’s investment decisions solely…

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