Home » March 6, 2009 Entries posted on “March, 2009”

The pain of mean reversion

DENVER (MarketWatch) — The stock market has dropped. Corporate profits have collapsed. And profit margins have reverted toward the mean. What is next? Before I dive into the discussion, let me explain the chart below, which I named appropriately, “The pain of mean reversion.” I looked at reported earnings for S&P 500 and compared them [...]

March 6, 2009 | Posted in The Process,The Process All | Read More »

Jeremy Siegel is brilliant, uplifting and just plain wrong!

S&P 500 earnings topped out at about $84 a share in June 2007, while corporate profit margins were 44% above their average since 1980.  At the time, these numbers were inflated by global bubbles in real-estate, commodities, liquidity, and growth expectations–a lot of global bubbles.    Since 2007, most of the bubbles deflated, stocks plunged, [...]

March 3, 2009 | Posted in Stock Analysis! | Read More »

Recently Commented

  • Anonymous: Great story and I admire your work. Did you marry a Russian girl? Being married to a Russian girl and...
  • Christian Rivera: Also can Walmart grow eps 15%/yr like they did from 1996 to 2006?
  • Christian Rivera: Vitaliyk, do you think Walmart will increase margins more than 50% (3.5% to 5.3%) in the next...
  • McCoy Penninger: I really enjoyed reading this.  Dead on.
  • I Need Money: So I guess is we hear Hoenig say that “the Fed should stick to its mission as lender of last...